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morning. i'm mark haines. >> i'm erin burnett. front and center, benjamin s. bernanke. >> yes. >> will be testifying in front of the house financial services committee about the economy and anything else they want to talk about. that'll be live in an hour. >> how about the exit strategy? imagine there will be some questions about that. the sec meets on possibly curbing short sales. huge issue for the market. full details coming up. >> and president obama meeting with key business leaders. it's all happening during this show. we've got a lot of breaking news, big headlines for you. we will be all over it, mark. how are your futures? >> not too good. >> no. >> up 0.70. we get a little break here because we closed a point above fair value. but, you know, looking at maybe 15, 20 points on the dow at the open. let's hit the markets. peel back the layers of the onion starting with brian shactman at the big board. >> thank you. listen, asia and europe were pretty mixed. germany, their economy in an absolute standstill. doint need to go over bernanke and all things going on in d.c. wi
to entertain you. call me. the most dramatic piece of news today did not come from ben bernanke's grilling in front of the house of representatives. bernanke floated like a butterfly. didn't bother to sting at all. it wasn't the skewering of toyota by congress for which the takeaway is quite obvious. keep buys ford and ford preferred. no, none of that. the most sit-up and take notice piece of news today came from dollar tree. which skyrocketed six points, up more than 14% on a day when the dow gained only, well, like 92 points. s&p up a percent. why do we care about a dollar score more than the fed chairman or a huge automaker? first, in full disclosure, my good and plenties of toiletries at my local store did not skew the numbers higher. although it didn't subtract from the company's astounds 32% increase in earnings. no. what this number says and what the stox said in reaction to it along with the store's radically high guidance from 2010, is that the consumer, the consumer is bummed and the consumer is stretched. >> the house of pain. >> i tell you, you don't go to dollar tree to feel g
, will they or won't they? the bailout chatter for greece intensifies. >> and here in the united states, ben bernanke will set out the fed's exit plan today but will likely make jobs clear, we'll still be in the car for some time to come. >> and welcome to "worldwide exchange." i'm christine tan in singapore where it's 5:00 p.m. in the city. let's get a view of where the asian markets have closed today. a lot of hopes pengd on the european union. they might come up with a plan to bail out greece. the nikkei 225 is up marginally. toyota continues to be focused. that stock climbing despite anal announcement that it's recalling another set of cars. the shanghai market up more than 1%. a lot of positive comments out in the country about strong import data and export data and that's helping to lift sentiment in china. the kos pit is moving up flat. people and investors are staying on the sidelines. the bombay sensex is trading down 0.5% and the aussie market is pretty much flat, up 0.2%. the ftse cnbc global 300 up 8 points, 4,243. ross, good to see you. >> hey, christine. we're very much focused on the w
not agreed to anything yet. >> and ben bernanke will be releasing his ideas on how the fed is going to pull back from its current role of propping up the economy in every way, shape, and form. we're going to have that live at 10:00. i know his comments are coming out, mark. i'm not sure if he's actually going to physically be there because you know in washington it's a little snow. what are they going to do? >> i think they now have a total of 50, five zero, inches on the ground. >> yeah, yeah. >> we also have big snow issues in new york, baltimore, philadelphia, airports closed, schools closed. it's a real mess. this is a live picture. >> wow. >> well, it was a live picture of reagan national airport. it is empty. >> that's amazing. it really is. mark, you know i remember when there was a forecast of snow things would be shut down and called off and to your point pretty incredible what has been going on there. snowmageddon. that's an amazing picture, live. no one at the airport. >>> the futures right now are plus 0.70 on the s&ps. we needed 1.42 to get to fair value. so it's very close to
't paying attention. my lead of the bernanke speech was discount rate to be hiked. my lead on the minutes was -- >> it sounds like -- >> let me finish, melissa, just be clear, my sources are telling me in the wake of this that the concept there's another bit to come is not necessarily true. they may stop here. so the idea that somehow they're just beginning this process of going back to 100 over on the fed funds is not true. it's out there in a lot of stuff. they may stop here. >> rich bernstein -- >> i want to ask both of you. do you think fed funds december 31, 2010 will be higher than they are today? >> well, let me answer that question and put it back to you. the typical forecast, is that the unemployment rate will be 9.5% or higher. also, that the inflation rate over the last year will be 1 to 1.25%. i have to ask you if you think at that point the fed would begin to tighten? you tell me. >> first of all, i think the bond market will -- i don't think the bond market looks at core. i hate to argue with on you this one, but if we find the inflation rate starts breaking 3, 3.5, we break
's the equivalent of ben bernanke he hurried back. the moment he booked that ticket the hedge funds figured he was going to solve the crisis and that's when they started rallying. you just need to find out who his trashl ajejt is and book your trade accordingly. if we knew he's on the case, we're less concerned about a collapse in europe and we recognize that he isn't about to cut off the stimulus that's so crucial to getting europe which has the worst economies in the world going in the right world. if the stock market stimulus thing is still with us, then we're not going to slink back into a worldwide slowdown. trichet's travel interruption was so powerful it was able to do something i have not seen happen since the year began, maybe even earlier, and that is the stock market did not go down when the baron chief president obama spoke on tv. way to go, trichet. now, i know about zorba the greek than greek bonds. memo to trichet on his travel plans, make sure they're never on a sunday because the markets aren't open. we love it when the currency is weak. that makes it seem completely backwards
't you tell us what you think after hearing a couple days of bernanke's testimony on the hill. does it change your outlook on what the fed is doing? >> no, as long as they use the magic words, extended period, we know the fed will be on hold for at least six months. that's what bill dudley told us. he said extended period was the language the fed has put in the policy statement, means at least six months. it was a phrase repeated by st. louis fed president bullard recently. so whenever bernanke puts his word in on it as well, we can feel assured that the fed is not likely to move for at least six months. the fed needs to be very clear at this day and age. so if they're telling us that that's what extended period means, that's what it means. and so, until there's some other clarifying comments, that's what we have to go on. >> we had somebody who told us yesterday that maybe they could move 25, 50 basis points. it's not the extended period but they're focusing on the incredibly low rates. either one of you guys quily think that's the case? >> the focus is on the extraordinary program
of that market. >> diane, where does this leave fed chief ben bernanke in terms of interest rates and where we're heading? i mean, by most consensus here people would anticipate and he has said that he's going to leave them in a very low rate environment for quite some time. how long is that time going to be? >> you know, i've had the fed not raising rates until december for my entire forecast and i'm starting to re-think they might not raise it until 2011. this is a very weak economy. so the weather exacerbates weakness, no question about it. we may recoup some of those gains and we may recoup some of them in march, but at the end of day when you've got people losing income when they're living paycheck to paycheck already, that's just an economy that's not as resilient. it just underscores the fragility of the economy that ben bernanke himself said yes, the weather is noisy and we have to go through it and at the end of day this economy is not looking that great in the first quarter. >> speaking of that, let's attack today's data. milton, real gdp was revised upwards to 5.9% for the first qua
economic appointees, brank bren bernan bernanke, who was the chairman of economic advisers under bush, and henry paulson, a very decent guy, came to us, the democratic and republican leadership and said, we need to do this bill. otherwise you go back a step. on the tuesday of that week, mr. bernanke and mr. paulson came to us and informed us, didn't ask us, that they had decided to provide money to aig. that was a bush administration unilateral decision. they then came back two days later and said, would you vote on $700 billion? we said, well, here's what we'll do. because you've announced that the world will collapse if we don't do it. and i think they were right that there was terrible trouble. but when the two top presidential appointees come to tell you, if you don't do this publicly, there'll be a collapse, then there'll be a collapse, because confidence is so important. so we were the ones who insisted on putting some pay controls on there. you're going to have ken feinberg on later. we also said, no, you can't do the $700 billion all at once, you've got to do it in sections. i
. people like alan greenspan and ben bernanke gave us the largest downturn since the great depression. that is why we have a huge budget deficit. we didn't have a huge tax cuts. we had stimulus and response to the downturn. we have higher unemployment if we have not had that but let's be clear if we are upset about the deficit greenspan and bernanke, i don't know why we reappointed bernanke. in terms of the entitlement programs, yeah we have a public pension program, which is hugely popular. you look at polling day that-- i was at a conference this morning in social security is over 90%. they ask people would you be willing to pay higher taxes to sustain sosa security benefits and 70 to 80% said yes. i don't see any problem with running a pension program through the public sector. what is the problem with the? it is usually popular. health care costs, medicare again. we are providing medicare health care benefits for seniors. that is also hugely popular. you have these tea party people out there yelling don't let the government touch medicare. they are anti-government but they want me
. the fed was very clear about that in its statement. ben bernanke was very clear about that. we have to take them at their word. banks are still nursing a lot of wounds. >> they can say that all they want but the truth is rates are going to go up. for most americans that is the most important rate. >> well, so, they're not expecting a big increase in mortgage rates actually. when they stop buying mortgages in march. and to the extent that mortgage rates do go up, you know, think if anything it gives them less of an inclination to raise the fed fund rate further down the road. if you ask me, the odds of a feds fund rate increase later this year have actually gotten down in the last 24 hours and gone up because the number was soft. the soft cpi number means the dove have a strengther hand. they're saying we've got to keep rates low for a long time. the feds said this technical discount rate did not change the broader view of where the financial system and the economy are. >> can you explain why, then, they did this in an emergency way? they have this meeting where they make this decisi
. and with dr. bernanke scheduled to speak tomorrow, our sense is that that trade will be relatively quiet here. a high volume area last week was around 1064 even. we'll probably bing bong back and forth on that trade waiting for dr. bernanke or for further developments in europe. >> what's your view, jamie, about today's trade and whether you believe in the bounce we are likely to get, at least at the open? >> well, i think the most encouraging part is that this rally is coming from european financials. you can see all those works up markedly on yesterday's trade. domestically, local ibs have been overwhelmed by this european crisis. unemployment was a great number on friday. it exceeded expectations. earnings continue to be strong. we seem to have been weighed down by euro. if that turn around and those financials continue to hold these gains, it could be very good things domestically. >> jamie, most of the guys you trade with trade according to technical analysis charts and yada yada. let me run this by you. the day before yesterday, which was a monday, right? yeah. did monday look like a sh
. musberger. >> that's where the sum is mitt will be taking place. for the second time today ben bernanke will come face to face with lawmakers who want his exit strategy from the drastic measures the fed took to keep the economy going. >> steve, what can you tell us about not annual what the fed chair said, but did he give a hint on where interest rates are headed? >> he did. he said what are considered on wall street, chuck, the magic words that the fed will remain exceptionally low for an extended period. that phrase has guided wall street's forecast for where the fed will be. it basically means the fed will not change policy for six months. you sat there, read the testimony. as soon as he said those words you knew they were safe. so the idea is the fed leading up to this had done some mechanical things that some in the market mistook for the beginning of tightening, but they were just what the fed called normalization. so the fed chairman needed to say that and he said it. what i think is because banking and regulatory reform is alive in the senate, if not the house -- remember, they
concerns that the market has across the spectrum. and you've got bernanke talking about higher rates. fed funds are pricing in almost 100% probability that we have rates lower in march. if we start to see more rhetoric out of the fed with respect to what they're going to do with the rates, that is outside of market expectations right now currently. >> what are you telling people tow to do snt. >> right now, volt tilt is at a level to finance shorter purchases and hedges. given the uncertainty, i don't think it's fair to say that volatility is expensive on the front end. >> anthony, real quick, berna e bernanke's exit strategy speech yesterday, does it move up your sense of the timing for when the fed will ultimately tighten? >> it really didn't, steve. the federal reserve basically injected $1.5 trillion in the liquidity in the credit crisis. it would be irresponsibility of the fed to not outline a credit strategy. i think he made it very clear that he wanted to give us the thumb nails strategy of what this is going to be like. is he going to normalize the discount rate? yes. but remembe
. people still point to may of '07 when bernanke says subprime is 9% of mortgages, right? they're not infallible. and we can't expect them to be, i guess, is the answer, right? >> none of us is infallible. if you didn't learn that, you missed something over the course of the past three years. >> dan's with us for the rest of the program. we've got a lot more to talk about. >>> meantime, any questions or comments this morning, we'd love to hear from you. our address is squawk@cnbc.com. >>> when we come back, european exposure, debt crisis overseas, how some u.s. companies might be impacted. >>> still to come, olympic skiers headed to the starting gate at whistler while bankers in new york await a possible auction. we'll get an update from daniel nu mudd, the ceo of fortress, just ahead. >>> time now for today's "aflac trivia question." what baseball player nicknamed the georgia peach amassed 4,189 hits in his career? this is not more benefits at greater cost to your company insurance. this is not how does it fit in my company's budget insurance. this is help protect and care for
of these issues. by the way, ben bernanke's going to be up on capitol hill next week, i think, and he's going to talk about his so-called fed exit strategy. my gosh, will the fed exit in my lifetime? i'm kind of suspicious about that. you're watching the kudlow report. we'll be right back. i was just in town for a few days, and i was wondering if i could say hi to the doctor. is he in? he's in copenhagen. oh, well, that's nice. but you can still see him! you just said he was in... copenhagen. come on! that's pretty far. doc, look who's in town. ellen! copenhagen? cool, right? vacation. but still seeing patients. oh. [ whispering ] workaholic. i heard that. she said it. i... [ female announcer ] the new office. see it. live it. share it. on the human network. cisco. >>> all right. how now dow jones? we're talking stocks here. the averages turned around at the end of the day and finished with a small positive. off about .5% for the week, off about 7% in the so-called correction since mid-january. we're having liz ann sanders. number one the dollar, number two, gold, number three, commodities. >
velshi later today. >> a lot of great stuff. >> ben bernanke will testify on the hill today. >> we'll get his prescription or a forecast on what will happen with the overall economy. a lot of questions. when will this economy be back to normal and what is normal? that means your job, home and bank. let's take a look at where we stand. the national association of business economics predicts job growth is on its way, forecasting 140,000 jobs per month will be added in 2010. in the new normal, no thing is ever as it seems. yesterday we found out mass layoffs rose last month for the first time since august. more than 180,000 folks fell victim to mass layoffs in january. we saw consumer confidence tumble. consumers are still very nervous. how about your house? your biggest asset most likely or what was once your biggest asset. one out of every four mortgages is under water. it means you owe more than the house is worth. foreclosure will continue. speaking of lenders, banks still in trouble. one out of 11 banks is at risk of going under. that's the problem bank lift, 140 banks were shut down la
corps which western intelligence believes is peterheading iran's missile program. ben bernanke is outlining the central bank's plan for reeling in stimulus money once the economic recovery is more firmly rooted. the a p rights in prepared remarks to the house committee mr. burning pieces the fed will start tightening credit by boosting the interest rate it pays banks at the central bank. to an in to booktv for a three day president's day weekend beginning saturday. others inform treasury secretary henry paulson talking with warren buffett on the 2008 economic collapse. afterwards, historian and pulitzer prize winner gary wills on how the atomic bomb change the presidency and the role of the u.s. in the world. all day monday, books on american presidents. fdr, as seen on president obama and our culture on ronald reagan. for the complete schedule go to booktv.org. . it is a little under two hours. >> meeting come to order. mahatghghandi, every worthwhile accomplishment has stages drudgery and triumph. in beginning struggle and victory. the effort to add comprehensive health care
bush, ben bernanke, tim geithner to get the record out. this is news in and of itself, michelle, beyond the details you point out. his first-person account goes into the record and it's going to be essential to figure out where did we go wrong and how do we fix it? amazing to me the number of things that aren't fixed yet. >> final thought to you? >> i agree with steve. it was remarkable book. it helps the history exicle record. i call it pg version. he said the british screwed us. in my book he uses a colorful phrase. >> andrew, thank you. steve, thank you. the word on the street goldman sachs' ceo lloyd blankfein could collect a bonus up to $100 million according to the report in the times of london. goldman sachs roundly distribpu the rumor saying there's speculation and there's stupidity. this speculation transcends the stupid and takes it to a new level. i would call that -- that would be your denial-denial. >> that would be a strong denial. goldman sachs shares gaining 90% for a year and about 4% higher right now. the goldman sachs folks knocked this story down. it is only in the t
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get so mad at people like ben bernanke. most economists, god knows what on earth was going through their heads as they watch the bubble keep grow and grow and grow and said everything was okay. now they are surprised fukuda agnone? that is a joke we have around washington. anyone who is doing their job should have known. >> host: amity shlaes anything there you want to address? >> guest: i think it is important to think about the interplay between the war in domestic policy because it is true the government can think about two things at once. it cannot walk and chew gum at the same time and when you have a distraction, whether you believe it is something we should invest then, afghanistan, iraq, the government does not think well about what is going on at home so if you called on our various leaders that the fed or at the white house over time under, in this period under president bush,'s september 11 you would say are you concerned about fannie mae? they would say absolutely, here's the data and they are going out of control, fannie and freddie and we will be have legislation abou
together with bernanke's exit speech, you put that together and people say, wait a second, maybe the tight is turning. and being on top of the timing of when the fed starts to tighten or when the rhetoric changes, because when the rhetoric changes, that's when rates will change. and if there weren't enough international news, the european central bank plans to join forces of the european commission to monitor the situation in greece. ecb president jean-claude trichet says the two will draw up necessary measures to maintain stability in the euro zone. european officials offered support for debt-laden greece at a summit yesterday. we don't know what's in the plan. it's some sort of support. >> i don't know what the plan is. except everybody is happy they're in a plan. >> they're in something. they've expressed support. >> monday, the finance ministers meet again. this may be a situation where you see more of the details that start to emerge. what's it call, the european -- the meeting on monday. >> what worries me is that the plan itself will be so underwell manying that people will say, is
with bernanke and for some reason there have been just no real uptick generally about the fact that those types of things already are prohibited. you can only use a minimal amount of the bank's capital in other areas of a bank holding company. in addition to that, it actually move capital permanently, you've got to reduce the capital of the commercial bank also. so i do wonder -- >> yes, go ahead. basically, you're saying that those who think this is simply a punitive move by the obama administration are right. am i reading you correctly? >> well, let me say this. look, paul volcker is like a folk hero here? there's no question. his inflation efforts were tremendously appreciated and the timing of the announcement, i think everybody on all sides are transparently political. that doesn't mean, that look, we don't need to continue to look at ways of dealing with this. i don't think it got a great reception yesterday. again, we've got one more hearing tomorrow with goldman and others and we'll drill down in another way, but my sense is there's not a lot of traction on it because there are mechanis
Search Results 0 to 22 of about 23